
He’s still not a zero in speed either, but it’s a downward trajectory there. It’s also important to note that while he does have a mature body already, there’s still room for growth in his upper half - so there’s likely more strength to add to his raw power yet. 300/.400/.500 slash, which for a 18 YO is still excellent. He continued to show he’s one of the more advanced hitters in the 2022 J15 class, and got to more game power this year, slugging 20 XBH in 52 games. While his speed has moved backwards and he proved a bit more raw defensively, everything else took a really nice step forward in the Complex. In May we were intrigued by Santana’s potential 5-Tool profile. Santana had base Chrome earlier this year, and is being revisited with autographs in this release. With a somewhat successful year in AA behind him, his risk profile ticks down a notch, but only one. It continues to be a mixed bag for DDLS – there needs to be some improvement to his weaknesses to make it in the MLB, but at 20 he has plenty of time to do it. As you can see even in his success, the discipline was ghastly and came with a 27 K%, but it also half his season’s HRs. He struggled mightily in the first few months, but in August/September he hit. His performance trend was squarely up as well to end the season. The glory – fantastic raw power that’s resulted in 18 HR at AA. The pain - he’s still rough with plate discipline, and he still looks like a better bet to move to 1B than stick at 3B, but he’s still seeing more time at 3B than 1B for now. Unless there’s a callout in the writeup or their Tier is different, the DSL players fit into the very bottom of Tier 3.Īll the glory and all the pain from our writeup in May’s release has looked true. With them and a few others, there is a range of Ceiling listed because the variance is simply too great to peg down into a single number. 260 average, and one other element of interest (team context, excellent speed, etc).Ī few notes on DSL players. I’ll provide the definition of a 5, and you, reader, can interpret everything from that: a maximum realistic projection of an MLB regular with 10-15 HR power.

On the flip side, a player at the AAA level is most likely a 1-3 level of risk.Ĭeiling is just how significant the player has the potential of being for the hobby. So anyone at the Complex level, by rule, is almost always a 9 or 10 risk. Risk is a general measure of how far a player has advanced toward making an impact in the majors. We also assigned Risk and Ceiling to each player to provide a quick glimpse into each player. *Catchers and Pitchers are often knocked down a tier just due to their position.

Hobby lottery tickets where the odds are stacked against you. Plenty of pitchers, catchers, role players, hit-tool-only bats, Quad-A power bats, defense-first players, etc. Tier None - The likelihood of widespread short-term hobby interest, and most likely long-term as well, is close to none. Tier 3 - May have some hobby interest due to a single factor such as prospect pedigree, team interest, general hobby hype, an interesting carrying tool, etc. High-end SP 2 pitchers with additional positive factors such as team, arsenal, pedigree, etc. Tier 2 - Bats that may lack in a certain area such as top-end power, three true outcomes players with huge power, great real life/fantasy players, but not hobby-elite, or tantalizing raw talents. Potential for being perennial All-Stars and award winners. Combination of high-end Hit and Power tools that won’t end up as full-time designated hitters. We classify each prospect in three ways - a Tier ranking, a Risk grade, and a Ceiling grade, all within the context of the baseball card collecting hobby.
